Hurricane Melissa Grows Stronger While Moves In the Direction of the Island Nation
Hurricane Melissa is projected to escalate to a infrequent category five hurricane as it veers in the direction of the Caribbean island, causing life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.
The hurricane, which recorded wind speeds of up to 120 mph as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is presently veering northwest in the Caribbean region and is anticipated to hit the coast by Tuesday, as reported by meteorological authorities.
Warnings of power cuts and disruption to utilities have been issued as the hurricane produces up to 76cm of precipitation and storm surges as high as 13ft above ground. "Seek shelter now," residents have been advised.
The cyclone is the thirteenth storm in the ongoing Atlantic storm period, which usually concludes in late autumn.
Category Five Storm Risk
A highest-level cyclone is the most powerful category, with wind speeds of at least 157mph.
While the hurricane is projected to reduce in intensity to a category four cyclone before arriving at Jamaica, meteorologists said there was "almost no noticeable change in the general consequences" upon reaching the coast, and that the cyclone will be "just as powerful" when it hits the country.
Immediate Preparations
With tropical storm-strength wind and rainfall already expected ahead of it passes over central Jamaica - possibly even the city of Kingston - alerts indicate that "readiness efforts must be accelerated".
"A multi-day period of harmful winds and heavy rainfall has started and will cause severe and deadly sudden floods and numerous rock slides," counseled weather authorities.
The nation's leader Andrew Holness stated: "I realize that there are numerous residents who are concerned, who are very concerned, and with good reason: you should be concerned.
"But the optimal approach to handle anxiety and any apprehension and anxiety is to stay ready."
Locals are being told to secure their homes with sandbags and plywood sheets, and to gather essentials.
Broader Consequences
Warnings are also in effect for parts of the neighboring country including the primary urban center, the adjacent nation and eastern Cuba, where Melissa is projected to bring comparable impacts by the middle portion of the coming week.
Landslides currently triggered by the hurricane have resulted in two fatalities in the country, according to local authorities.
Future Course
This weather system is projected to pass over the island nation by midweek before moving through the Greater Antilles and entering the Atlantic.
By the moment it arrives at the Caribbean nation, it is forecast to have weakened to a third-level hurricane.
Climate Context
Even though it is difficult to associate individual weather events to climate change, experts say it is resulting in meteorological events increasingly frequent and more severe.
Higher ocean heat generate more moisture in the environment, aiding in the development of storms.
Before the commencement of this season's Caribbean cyclone season, weather organizations predicted above-normal activity, citing heated marine conditions and likely enhanced seasonal rains around West Africa - where tropical systems typically originate.